Tag Archive for Senate Majority

ELECTION NIGHT IN AMERICA: America Votes 2016

Never Politics Small

5:07 pm Mountain Time

It’s finally here, America. Election Night 2016! I can barely sit still as I wait for the results to roll in. Never Politics will be live-blogging all evening so stay with me all evening for Colorado news and coverage of the Presidential race and some key nationwide Senate races! I will be following all the Colorado ballot measures, Colorado Senate race, and the ultra-competitive Colorado’s 6th Congressional district. I will also be watching the following key Senate races: Missouri (Kander vs Blunt), Illinois (Kirk vs Duckworth), and Wisconsin (Feingold vs Johnson.)

6:05 pm Mountain Time

Tammy Duckworth has just won the Illinois Senate Race! She is a veteran of the Iraq war and a war hero, and ran a classy campaign, whereas Kirk ran a messy campaign, constantly making incendiary ignorant remarks. I am thrilled Duckworth won!

6:14 pm Mountain Time

Colorado Democrats are trying to get a court order to require our state’s polling places stay open an extra 2 hours because electronic voting systems went down today. I will follow this closely and post any updates.

6:29pm Mountain Time

The Washington Post has an excellent site to track Colorado’s election results. This is a great site to monitor when the polls close in Colorado at 7pm Mountain Time.

The Denver Post reported yesterday that Republicans were leading Democrats in Early Voting despite all the Democrats Get Out The Vote efforts. The Denver Post: “The latest early voting numbers released Monday morning show registered Republicans cast 652,380 ballots compared to 645,020 registered Democrats — a 7,360 vote GOP advantage. The breakdown looks like this: 35.2 percent Republican, 34.8 percent Democrat and 28.5 percent unaffiliated.”

6:47pm Mountain Time

The Huffington Post has a great Electoral College calculator going right now. Currently Trump leads Clinton 60 to 48 in the Electoral College.

6:58pm Mountain Time

Major news outlets are calling that the House of Representatives will stay Republican controlled.

Huffington Post Electoral Calculator: Trump 121, Clinton 97.

As of 7pm, the polls are closed in Colorado! But those still in line at 7pm can still vote. The Democrats attempt to get a court order to keep the polls open was denied by a judge.

Michael Bennet (D) is leading Darryl Glenn (R) by substantial numbers in the Colorado Senate race. This is no surprise.

7:18pm Mountain Time:

From Nate Silver’s twitter: “Republicans’ chances of winning the Senate are up to 69% in our model, after Indiana and Florida calls for GOP.”

7:36 pm Mountain Time

Presidential Race: Many states are too close to call. Trump is performing better than expected. Very nervous right now. The race is proving very very tight. In Florida, if people didn’t vote for Gary Johnson, Hillary would be doing much better. It makes me very annoyed with people who voted 3rd parties in this most important of elections.

What if Comey didn’t come out with reopening the FBI investigation? Would the Presidential race be less tight? I am angry with Comey right now as the election proves super tight.

Market Reaction: DOW Futures have plunged 500 points…Markets are roiled, scared….

7:46pm Mountain Time

COLORADO UPDATE: Hillary Clinton is leading in Colorado 49.4% to 43.2% with 43.4% of the vote counted.

Huffington Post Electoral Calculator: Trump 140, Clinton 104.

The country is nervous. The Clinton supporters are anxious. But the night is young and it is still early yet. A lot rides on Florida and North Carolina, both of which are still too close to call as the clock ticks past 10:00 on the East Coast.

MSNBC is reporting that 12 states are too close to call. The fact that Virginia is so close is a bad sign for Clinton. The media had thought that Virginia was going to easily go blue this election cycle. The next hour will prove very huge in this election. Stay tuned!

AMENDMENT 69: ColoradoCare: Voted down! By 80% to 20%.

Proposition 106: Prescription Assisted Suicide: PASSED! 65% to 35%.

Proposition 107: Presidential Primaries: PASSED! 63% to 37%

-Diana Degette has won, 69% to 28%

-Jared Polis has won, 58% to 37%

-Mike Coffman is leading Morgan Carroll 51% to 43% with 66% reporting.

Donald Trump has won Ohio.

Michael Bennet has defeated Darryl Glenn in the Colorado Senate Race.

Clinton has just won Virginia!

8:35 pm Mountain Time:

Clinton has won Colorado!

Trump has just won Florida.

WISCONSIN Senate Race: Johnson has just defeated Russ Feingold in Wisconsin.

Mike Coffman has defeated Morgan Carroll 51% to 43%. I blame the Denver Post for endorsing Coffman. The Birther wins again.

Colorado: AMENDMENT 70 RAISING THE MINIMUM WAGE:  PASSED!!! 55% to 45%

AMENDMENT 72: TOBACCO TAXES: FAILED. 53% to 47%.

AMENDMENT 71: “RAISE THE BAR INITIAVE”: PASSED. 57% to 43%.

AMENDMENT U: PROPERTY TAXES: FAILED. 57% to 43%.

9:42pm Mountain Time:

Missouri Senate Race: Roy Blunt leads Jason Kander 51.7% to 43.8%.

NBC News says 7 states are still too close to call. Hillary needs to pull out a win in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, or Nevada.

10:33pm Mountain Time:

Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Maine, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Arizona, and Alaska remain to be called (are to close to be called so far.) This election may not be called tonight. Another possibility: a 269 / 269 electoral tie?!

10:55 Mountain Time:

I am still hoping Hillary can pull this thing off. But I don’t know if that can happen. Trump has momentum. I am shocked, stunned, saddened. Trying not to feel despondent.

11:23pm Mountain Time

If Trump wins, I blame the media in part. For giving Trump’s campaign thousands of hours of free advertising because it got them ratings. Yes it was news-worthy and needed to be covered, but the way they covered every speech he made was a complete media circus. I am terrified for this country. It looks like the GOP gets a super majority: Senate, House, Presidency, and then they will load up the Supreme Court. I am stunned.

I’ve been up since 4:30am but I don’t think I can go to sleep. I need to see the returns from the remaining states.

12:45am Mountain Time:

Donald Trump has won. I am stunned and despondent.

The GOP has also retained Senate majority.

Goodnight. Tomorrow is a new day.

ELECTION NIGHT 2014: COLORADO AND NATIONWIDE RESULTS AND ANALYSIS

Never Politics Small

 

Election Night is finally here, and the results are slowly rolling in. I will be live-blogging throughout the evening! CNN is already projecting that Kentucky Senator and Senate Minority leader Mitch McConnell will keep his Senate seat with a comfortable margin. Perhaps we will know at the end of the night if McConnell will become the Senate Majority Leader as well.

However, we may not know this by the end of tonight, or even by the end of this month if the Louisiana Senate race is the deciding senate seat (which may be forced into a December runoff if neither candidate receives the salient number of 50% of the vote.) I am so disappointed about the Kentucky senate race results, and the reality that McConnell wasn’t voted out of office. But it is hardly a surprise. Kentucky is just a conservative state and the sixth year itch is prevailing. And that’s not even mentioning how extremely unpopular President Obama is in that state, which was Alison Lundergan Grimes undoing.

Stay with NEVER POLITICS for all your Election Night news, with a special focus on Colorado’s races and the role of independent voters and candidates in Colorado and beyond. The polls close in Colorado in about 45 minutes! I am especially interested in how many independent (unaffiliated) voters vote in Colorado and nationwide. The dominant trend seems to be that more and more voters are leaving the two dominant parties and choosing to be independents. This should not be a trend that the Democrats and Republicans take lightly. This shows the severe dissatisfaction and disillusionment that voters feel with the two party system. But it encourages me, as I think they will have to pay attention to this trend and manifest some positive collaboration in Washington D.C. if they are interested in their own political survival.

BREAKING NEWS:

New Hampshire Senate Race: Jeanne Shaheen (D) wins key Senate Seat, fending off Republican Scott Brown!

Colorado Update: The polls have been closed now for a half hour and the results in the governor’s race are exceedingly close, with Beupreaz leading Hickenlooper 49-47%. And in the Senate race, Cory Gardner looks to be crystallizing his lead, 52 to 43% with 41% reporting!

CNN is reporting that the Louisiana Senate race WILL indeed go to runoff, with the vote split between the two Republican candidates causing neither Landrieu or Cassidy hitting the magic number of 50%! This race will not be settled until December. The laywers will be pouncing in Louisiana!

 Colorado’s AMENDMENT 67 “Personhood Amendment” HAS FAILED! A huge victory for women and women’s reproductive freedoms.

 7News is projecting that Mike Coffman has defeated Andrew Romanoff in Colorado’s 6th Congressional district 54% to 41% with 68% reporting. This devastates me. The worst news of the night hands-down. However, Romanoff fought the good fight and his campaign was fought with honor and honesty.

The Republicans only need 2 senate seats now to reach their magic number to gain control of the Senate.

 Governor hopeful Wendy Davis has lost by a huge margin in Texas.

 CNN has called the Colorado SENATE Race. Rep. Cory Gardner has defeated incumbent Mark Udall, 51% to 44%. I feel that the Democrats blew this race with their one-note campaign, setting Udall up for defeat.

 The GOP are routing the Dems everywhere. They just won the Georgia Senate race. The GOP now only needs to win one more Senate seat to gain control of the Senate. Iowa and Kansas are still too close to call but lean Republican.

In Wisconsin, Scott Walker has sailed to re-election after a controversy-laden 4 year term. After his recall election and all of the curbing of collective bargaining rights for unions, Walker has won re-election. What does that say about the times we are in? A state that used to be so pro-union is veering dramatically to the right. This scares me more than anything else tonight. A very scary bellwether for our country. Scott Walker will likely run for President in 2016 now.

Kansas just elected the Republican Senate candidate Pat Roberts beating Greg Orman the independent. This defeat stings since it would have been so interesting if another Independent was sent to D.C. It is simply not to be.

Colorado Update: Proposition 104 has passed overwhelmingly. This Proposition will require any school board meetings which discuss collective bargaining (unions) to be open to the public. Well done, Colorado! However, Proposition 105, the GMO labeling proposition has been voted down, most likely due to the political ads that ran that said that 105 would raise food costs.

The Associated Press has just called that the Republicans have taken control of Senate Majority. Sen Mitch McConnell just got a promotion. He will now lead the Senate as Senate Majority Leader. He will have a fun time trying to control his caucus, especially the junior Senator from Texas, Ted Cruz.

More COLORADO Updates: The GOP has routed the Dems on all levels, not just the Senate/House Races, but also in state level government. The GOP Secretary of State candidate Wayne Williams has defeated the Democrat Joe Neguse. Similarly, the Democrat Betsy Markey has lost to Walker Stapleton for State Treasurer. Cynthia Coffman (R) has also won Attorney General, defeating Dem Don Quick.However, there are bright spots in the liberal Colorado Congressional districts 1 and 2, the progressive incumbent Reps. Diana Degette and Jared Polis both won handily! These two are two of my favorite Reps in the House of Representatives.

With 13 Days Until Election Day, Mail Ballots Have Arrived To Voters State-Wide and Early Voting Has Begun! And NEVER POLITICS Shares Candidate Endorsements

Never Politics Small

 

With less than 2 weeks until the election, nationwide the pundits are predicting victory for the GOP. The Senate Majority is likely to flip to being controlled by the Republicans, and here in Colorado the GOP leads in the polls in several key races: the senate race, the governorship, and key House of Representative races. President Obama’s approval ratings have been dismal, sitting at about 40%. The election has become less about the issues in the country and more of a referendum on President Obama. The GOP don’t have to have a proactive campaign when all they have to do is tie Democrat incumbents to the unpopular President. And this has been done ad nauseam in this election season.

Cory Gardner has run a “successful” campaign by linking Mark Udall’s voting record to President Obama’s agenda. This tactic is clearly based on the statistics on Midterm elections. In the sixth year of a President’s term, his/her political party loses. The statistics show it. Which is why I am having a hard time sustaining hope in this political climate. But I am more interested in the long-game anyway. While the GOP may win, and win big in November, I still believe there is much evidence to suggest that they are still losing the long game, and losing it nationwide. It is easy rhetoric for the GOP in this election to simply tie candidates nationwide to an unpopular President. But are they actually suggesting any alternatives? Do they have any cogent policy suggestions on how to move the country forward? I don’t see how they can win the Presidency in 2016 without a real vision for the country.

In fact, I think Hillary Clinton already has the election basically in the bag, and she hasn’t even formally announced that she is running yet. None of the speculated crop of GOP presidential candidates will have any remote chance of beating her. All of the polls in Iowa and New Hampshire show Hillary well ahead in the polls when matched against any of the GOP candidates (Chris Christie, Rand Paul, Jeb Bush, et al.) None of the metrics I have seen show that the GOP can win nationwide popular votes when they refuse to shift stances on the issues of the times. The GOP adamantly refuse to vote for immigration reform, raising the minimum wage, continue to support anti-women policies that infringe upon their reproductive rights, or reform on student loan interest rates. So, while the Democrats may lose in the short term, I doubt that the trend holds for too long. In 2016 and beyond we are likely to see reversals in these trends.

In addition to the Democrats inherent uphill battle this election season, I am also immensely frustrated by the local newspaper media piling on. I am alluding of course to the Denver Post and their recent endorsements of Cory Gardner and also Mike Coffman. The Denver Post usually endorses Democrats and liberal candidates, and I find it very fishy that all of a sudden this newspaper is endorsing these very socially conservative candidates. The timing is odd as well. The Denver Post is currently up for sale. And it’s current owners are a hedge fund. It seems to me that these endorsements have more to do with the owner of the Post and the prospective sale of the paper than the collective opinion of its journalists. There has been a sizable outcry against the Denver Post since these endorsements, with everyone from Gary Hart to others speaking out against it. The Denver Post said in its endorsement of Cory Gardner that the gridlock in Washington D.C. needs to stop, so they endorsed Gardner because he will be a new Senator, versus Udall who has been in the Senate for 15 years. This is the most pathetic logic I have ever heard for an endorsement. Cory Gardner has served in Congress for a few years in the House of Representatives and he has been one of the obstructionists who have caused the gridlock. In fact, he did not do much to stand up to his party during the Government Shutdown of 2013, when Colorado desperately needed a functioning federal government to provide emergency funding for Colorado during our devastating 2013 thousand year flood. It really boils my blood that just one year after all of the outrage over the government shutdown, the citizens of Colorado have already forgotten about it. Voter amnesia at it’s finest. And if the Denver Post was really serious about supporting candidates who will change the gridlock in D.C., they should have endorsed Andrew Romanoff for Colorado’s 6th district. Instead, they endorsed a well-known Birther and obstructionist, Mike Coffman. The Denver Post has no credibility anymore. It’s just another corporate agenda by the oligarchy.

NEVER POLITICS 2014 POLITICAL CANDIDATE AND BALLOT MEASURE ENDORSEMENTS:

Senator: Mark Udall
Governor: John Hickenlooper/Joe Garcia

Congressmen (6th District): Andrew Romanoff

Secretary of State: Joe Neguse
State Treasurer: Betsy Markey
Attorney General: Don Quick
State Representative, District 37: Nancy Cronk

BALLOT MEASURES:

Amendment 67: VOTE NO.

Amendment 68: VOTE YES.
Proposition 104: VOTE YES.
Proposition 105: VOTE YES.

 

Mark Udall and Cory Gardner Duke It Out in Competitive Election Fight While Hickenlooper Also In Toss Up Race

Never Politics SmallAh, it is finally October. That means crisp apples, beautiful yellow Aspen trees….and cut throat politics and obscene amounts of outside of state Super-PAC money pouring in! Yes, the Midterm elections are a little over a month away and the politics here in Colorado are hot, hot, hot. Colorado is such a truly purple state, a state that is so evenly divided in terms of Democrats and Republican voters, that it absolutely could be Independents that decide the victors, like Third Way wrote about yesterday. Third Way notes how there is a large independent electorate in Colorado, with a surge of new independent voters in the state, comprising of an additional 300,000 voters as unaffiliated or independent! But a large amount of these voters are libertarians, ideologically Republican voters.

I want to influence the liberal Colorado voters who are independents to vote in this election for Mark Udall for Senator and John Hickenlooper for Governor. And in the 6th district to unseat Rep. Mike Coffman, and vote for Andrew Romanoff in the 6th Congressional District.

Both the Senate race in Colorado and the Governor Seat are considered toss ups at this time, with many pundits predicting that Cory Gardner will win Mark Udall’s senate seat, and that senate majority will go to the Republicans in the Senate. John Hickenlooper is also engaged in a tight race, with pundits labeling that race a tossup.

Gardner and Udall have been clamoring for the Women Voter bloc. And Gardner has a 13% deficit in the polls behind Udall with women. Gardner has a Women Problem. So of course he is pandering directly to women, telling us that he supports birth control, which I am pretty sure is laughable. It’s just odd when the tables are turned and women have the power and yet lies and pandering prevails.

Andrew Romanoff has run an excellent campaign against incumbent Mike Coffman. Indeed, in a recent debate, Romanoff went on the offense against Coffman, and showed he had an excellent grasp on the issues while Coffman drew gasps from the crowd when he denied that climate change, i.e. global warming, could be man made. But Romanoff has an uphill battle because incumbents usually win, even though Congress has abysmally low approval ratings, the people still tend to re-elect their past representative or senator. This disconnect in politics, this phenomena of re-electing incumbent politicians we are dissatisfied with, is especially baffling to me.

The midterms look especially depressing to me in terms of the likely outcomes. But I think Democrats could retain Senate Majority if people turn out. So I am encouraging all my friends, neighbors, coworkers, and family to vote.

The media continues to realize the importance of Colorado in elections. With some pundits now calling Colorado a more important bellwether than Ohio, given Colorado’s quintessentially purple status. I think Colorado is a very exciting state to live in for political nerds like me. I cannot wait for the election. I will be live blogging results on Election Day.

John Hickenlooper in Re-Election Fight And if Jared Polis’ Anti-Fracking Measures Make the Ballot, Could Doom Mark Udall

Never Politics Small

In the spring, Hickenlooper’s campaign was flying high. Spirits were high that Hickenlooper would have a comfortable lead through the summer leading into the fall and the election. But that was before the Republican primary and before Hickenlooper’s opponent was chosen.

And here comes Bob Beauprez.

He crushed Tom Tancredo in the Republican primary. And he has a shot of becoming Colorado’s next governor. The Denver Post recently ran a piece about the “6-year-pushback,” the idea that there comes a push-back against the President’s party after 6 years in office, the result of voter frustration after 6 years of policy making. There could be a tide of political change in this politically purple state. We could get a Republican governor for the first time since 2007. We could get a Republican senator in the form of Cory Gardner.

Gov. Hickenlooper is now locked into a re-election fight, much like Mark Udall. Polls in mid July showed Governor Hick locked into a statistical tie. A Quinnipiac University poll released on July 15 found Republican Bob Beauprez leading the governor, 44% to 43%.

Hickenlooper has taken a few hard hits in public opinion over the last few years. The first was with the passing of gun-control legislation following the 2012 Aurora movie theater shooting. And the second stumble was with the very unpopular decision Governor Hickenlooper made to allow a “temporary reprieve” on the death penalty sentence of mentally-ill killer Nathan Dunlap. Bob Beauprez is jockeying into position to exploit public anger on these two issues. That combined with the public anger about “Obama-care” and the Dems have an uphill battle to November.

And we the citizens get caught in the middle with the mind numbing political ads that fill our tv screens on the local channels. Super PACS are out in force. We have ads from Karl Rove’s Super PAC, the Koch Brothers Super PAC, the Republican Senate Majority PAC, the Democrat Senate Majority PAC, then from Udall and Gardner’s campaigns directly. It is mind numbing. Combine that with the oil company propaganda ads which tell us that fracking is safe, effective, and counters our reliance on Middle Eastern oil. Nevermind that is completely unsafe and ruins the drinking water and farmland. Nevermind that it is causing earthquakes in Greeley, Colorado, a place that has never had any earthquake activity.

Time and Politico both recently published in-depth pieces that did an excellent job examining the impact of Jared Polis’ anti-fracking state-wide ballot measures that could potentially be on the ballot in November, if enough signatures are had by the August 4th deadline.  Democrats are concerned that these measures will serve as Republican turn out machines in November. This may cast the death blow to Mark Udall and to Gov. Hickenlooper. While I admire Rep. Jared Polis for speaking out against the intimidating oil and gas lobby in Colorado on fracking, he is not helping out the chances of Mark Udall keeping his Senate seat. Independents could very well be essential in determining who wins the Senate seat and who our governor will be….