Tag Archive for Mark Udall

Post Election Analysis: Colorado Midterms 2014

It’s been a few days now since Election Day and ballots continued to be counted here in Colorado. The Democrats look to hold the Colorado House of Representatives by one seat. They had a nine seat majority last session and now barely hold on to power. And the Colorado Senate is still up in the air with ballots still being counted in Adams County. A very close and contentious 2014 Election on both the local and national levels. But as the expression goes, the local is global. The political trends that we see this election year on the local level bode as bellwethers for the nationwide political trends.

Obviously, it was not a good year for the Democrats. Yet, none of it was unexpected. The “Sixth Year Itch” prevailed in that the President’s party, the Democrats, were voted out of office in record amounts. The Senate flipped from being Democrat controlled, with Harry Reid as Majority Leader, to Republican control, with Mitch McConnell as presumed new Senate Majority Leader. The House of Representatives also picked up several seats. The total numbers: GOP picks up at least 7 seats in the Senate, and at least 14 seats in the House, give or take a few if the GOP takes a few additional races that continue to be up in the air while recounts, runoffs, and remaining ballots are counted.

Obviously, the main narrative in the media is that the GOP trounced the Dems. And they did. I will give them that. And they had an extremely savvy strategy, especially in the Cory Gardner/Mark Udall race. I believe that Gardner benefited from the Democrats war-on-women central focus setting a vulnerable Mark Udall up for failure. This is what angers me. That the Democrats bungled this one and were complacent about the focus on this issue. As a feminist, I agree that the GOP’s policies are not women-friendly. The legislation coming out of D.C. is not women-friendly. They can’t even pass an Equal Pay Act in D.C. Then there’s the terrible decision made by the Supreme Court in the Hobby Lobby Case. Between those and the Personhood legislation on state and national levels coming up every election cycle, and the “Forcible Rape” terminology in legislation, how are women supposed to believe that the GOP works for their interests at all? So the Democrats are correct to pursue this strategy. But it was not in their political interest to make it the center of Mark Udall’s campaign. Voters have a lot of anxiety right now about a lot of serious issues, and they have no confidence in Washington D.C. to address these issues. People are angry, and also checked out. And a wonderful Senator, one of the GOOD guys, Mark Udall pays the price. And opportunist and liar Cory Gardner is now a Senator.

The Colorado Independent has a great piece by writer Mike Littwin, in which he sums up the Colorado 2014 midterms in a nutshell stating: “The strangest thing is that Hickenlooper – who has spent so much time at the center of a gun-laws, sheriffs-pandering storm — is the Democrat who survives, and Udall, whose career has been basically storm-free, is the one who gets toppled.”

Such is the strange world of politics, where nothing is fair and anything can happen.

ELECTION NIGHT 2014: COLORADO AND NATIONWIDE RESULTS AND ANALYSIS

 

Election Night is finally here, and the results are slowly rolling in. I will be live-blogging throughout the evening! CNN is already projecting that Kentucky Senator and Senate Minority leader Mitch McConnell will keep his Senate seat with a comfortable margin. Perhaps we will know at the end of the night if McConnell will become the Senate Majority Leader as well.

However, we may not know this by the end of tonight, or even by the end of this month if the Louisiana Senate race is the deciding senate seat (which may be forced into a December runoff if neither candidate receives the salient number of 50% of the vote.) I am so disappointed about the Kentucky senate race results, and the reality that McConnell wasn’t voted out of office. But it is hardly a surprise. Kentucky is just a conservative state and the sixth year itch is prevailing. And that’s not even mentioning how extremely unpopular President Obama is in that state, which was Alison Lundergan Grimes undoing.

Stay with NEVER POLITICS for all your Election Night news, with a special focus on Colorado’s races and the role of independent voters and candidates in Colorado and beyond. The polls close in Colorado in about 45 minutes! I am especially interested in how many independent (unaffiliated) voters vote in Colorado and nationwide. The dominant trend seems to be that more and more voters are leaving the two dominant parties and choosing to be independents. This should not be a trend that the Democrats and Republicans take lightly. This shows the severe dissatisfaction and disillusionment that voters feel with the two party system. But it encourages me, as I think they will have to pay attention to this trend and manifest some positive collaboration in Washington D.C. if they are interested in their own political survival.

BREAKING NEWS:

New Hampshire Senate Race: Jeanne Shaheen (D) wins key Senate Seat, fending off Republican Scott Brown!

Colorado Update: The polls have been closed now for a half hour and the results in the governor’s race are exceedingly close, with Beupreaz leading Hickenlooper 49-47%. And in the Senate race, Cory Gardner looks to be crystallizing his lead, 52 to 43% with 41% reporting!

CNN is reporting that the Louisiana Senate race WILL indeed go to runoff, with the vote split between the two Republican candidates causing neither Landrieu or Cassidy hitting the magic number of 50%! This race will not be settled until December. The laywers will be pouncing in Louisiana!

 Colorado’s AMENDMENT 67 “Personhood Amendment” HAS FAILED! A huge victory for women and women’s reproductive freedoms.

 7News is projecting that Mike Coffman has defeated Andrew Romanoff in Colorado’s 6th Congressional district 54% to 41% with 68% reporting. This devastates me. The worst news of the night hands-down. However, Romanoff fought the good fight and his campaign was fought with honor and honesty.

The Republicans only need 2 senate seats now to reach their magic number to gain control of the Senate.

 Governor hopeful Wendy Davis has lost by a huge margin in Texas.

 CNN has called the Colorado SENATE Race. Rep. Cory Gardner has defeated incumbent Mark Udall, 51% to 44%. I feel that the Democrats blew this race with their one-note campaign, setting Udall up for defeat.

 The GOP are routing the Dems everywhere. They just won the Georgia Senate race. The GOP now only needs to win one more Senate seat to gain control of the Senate. Iowa and Kansas are still too close to call but lean Republican.

In Wisconsin, Scott Walker has sailed to re-election after a controversy-laden 4 year term. After his recall election and all of the curbing of collective bargaining rights for unions, Walker has won re-election. What does that say about the times we are in? A state that used to be so pro-union is veering dramatically to the right. This scares me more than anything else tonight. A very scary bellwether for our country. Scott Walker will likely run for President in 2016 now.

Kansas just elected the Republican Senate candidate Pat Roberts beating Greg Orman the independent. This defeat stings since it would have been so interesting if another Independent was sent to D.C. It is simply not to be.

Colorado Update: Proposition 104 has passed overwhelmingly. This Proposition will require any school board meetings which discuss collective bargaining (unions) to be open to the public. Well done, Colorado! However, Proposition 105, the GMO labeling proposition has been voted down, most likely due to the political ads that ran that said that 105 would raise food costs.

The Associated Press has just called that the Republicans have taken control of Senate Majority. Sen Mitch McConnell just got a promotion. He will now lead the Senate as Senate Majority Leader. He will have a fun time trying to control his caucus, especially the junior Senator from Texas, Ted Cruz.

More COLORADO Updates: The GOP has routed the Dems on all levels, not just the Senate/House Races, but also in state level government. The GOP Secretary of State candidate Wayne Williams has defeated the Democrat Joe Neguse. Similarly, the Democrat Betsy Markey has lost to Walker Stapleton for State Treasurer. Cynthia Coffman (R) has also won Attorney General, defeating Dem Don Quick.However, there are bright spots in the liberal Colorado Congressional districts 1 and 2, the progressive incumbent Reps. Diana Degette and Jared Polis both won handily! These two are two of my favorite Reps in the House of Representatives.

With 13 Days Until Election Day, Mail Ballots Have Arrived To Voters State-Wide and Early Voting Has Begun! And NEVER POLITICS Shares Candidate Endorsements

Never Politics Small

 

With less than 2 weeks until the election, nationwide the pundits are predicting victory for the GOP. The Senate Majority is likely to flip to being controlled by the Republicans, and here in Colorado the GOP leads in the polls in several key races: the senate race, the governorship, and key House of Representative races. President Obama’s approval ratings have been dismal, sitting at about 40%. The election has become less about the issues in the country and more of a referendum on President Obama. The GOP don’t have to have a proactive campaign when all they have to do is tie Democrat incumbents to the unpopular President. And this has been done ad nauseam in this election season.

Cory Gardner has run a “successful” campaign by linking Mark Udall’s voting record to President Obama’s agenda. This tactic is clearly based on the statistics on Midterm elections. In the sixth year of a President’s term, his/her political party loses. The statistics show it. Which is why I am having a hard time sustaining hope in this political climate. But I am more interested in the long-game anyway. While the GOP may win, and win big in November, I still believe there is much evidence to suggest that they are still losing the long game, and losing it nationwide. It is easy rhetoric for the GOP in this election to simply tie candidates nationwide to an unpopular President. But are they actually suggesting any alternatives? Do they have any cogent policy suggestions on how to move the country forward? I don’t see how they can win the Presidency in 2016 without a real vision for the country.

In fact, I think Hillary Clinton already has the election basically in the bag, and she hasn’t even formally announced that she is running yet. None of the speculated crop of GOP presidential candidates will have any remote chance of beating her. All of the polls in Iowa and New Hampshire show Hillary well ahead in the polls when matched against any of the GOP candidates (Chris Christie, Rand Paul, Jeb Bush, et al.) None of the metrics I have seen show that the GOP can win nationwide popular votes when they refuse to shift stances on the issues of the times. The GOP adamantly refuse to vote for immigration reform, raising the minimum wage, continue to support anti-women policies that infringe upon their reproductive rights, or reform on student loan interest rates. So, while the Democrats may lose in the short term, I doubt that the trend holds for too long. In 2016 and beyond we are likely to see reversals in these trends.

In addition to the Democrats inherent uphill battle this election season, I am also immensely frustrated by the local newspaper media piling on. I am alluding of course to the Denver Post and their recent endorsements of Cory Gardner and also Mike Coffman. The Denver Post usually endorses Democrats and liberal candidates, and I find it very fishy that all of a sudden this newspaper is endorsing these very socially conservative candidates. The timing is odd as well. The Denver Post is currently up for sale. And it’s current owners are a hedge fund. It seems to me that these endorsements have more to do with the owner of the Post and the prospective sale of the paper than the collective opinion of its journalists. There has been a sizable outcry against the Denver Post since these endorsements, with everyone from Gary Hart to others speaking out against it. The Denver Post said in its endorsement of Cory Gardner that the gridlock in Washington D.C. needs to stop, so they endorsed Gardner because he will be a new Senator, versus Udall who has been in the Senate for 15 years. This is the most pathetic logic I have ever heard for an endorsement. Cory Gardner has served in Congress for a few years in the House of Representatives and he has been one of the obstructionists who have caused the gridlock. In fact, he did not do much to stand up to his party during the Government Shutdown of 2013, when Colorado desperately needed a functioning federal government to provide emergency funding for Colorado during our devastating 2013 thousand year flood. It really boils my blood that just one year after all of the outrage over the government shutdown, the citizens of Colorado have already forgotten about it. Voter amnesia at it’s finest. And if the Denver Post was really serious about supporting candidates who will change the gridlock in D.C., they should have endorsed Andrew Romanoff for Colorado’s 6th district. Instead, they endorsed a well-known Birther and obstructionist, Mike Coffman. The Denver Post has no credibility anymore. It’s just another corporate agenda by the oligarchy.

NEVER POLITICS 2014 POLITICAL CANDIDATE AND BALLOT MEASURE ENDORSEMENTS:

Senator: Mark Udall
Governor: John Hickenlooper/Joe Garcia

Congressmen (6th District): Andrew Romanoff

Secretary of State: Joe Neguse
State Treasurer: Betsy Markey
Attorney General: Don Quick
State Representative, District 37: Nancy Cronk

BALLOT MEASURES:

Amendment 67: VOTE NO.

Amendment 68: VOTE YES.
Proposition 104: VOTE YES.
Proposition 105: VOTE YES.

 

Mark Udall and Cory Gardner Duke It Out in Competitive Election Fight While Hickenlooper Also In Toss Up Race

Never Politics SmallAh, it is finally October. That means crisp apples, beautiful yellow Aspen trees….and cut throat politics and obscene amounts of outside of state Super-PAC money pouring in! Yes, the Midterm elections are a little over a month away and the politics here in Colorado are hot, hot, hot. Colorado is such a truly purple state, a state that is so evenly divided in terms of Democrats and Republican voters, that it absolutely could be Independents that decide the victors, like Third Way wrote about yesterday. Third Way notes how there is a large independent electorate in Colorado, with a surge of new independent voters in the state, comprising of an additional 300,000 voters as unaffiliated or independent! But a large amount of these voters are libertarians, ideologically Republican voters.

I want to influence the liberal Colorado voters who are independents to vote in this election for Mark Udall for Senator and John Hickenlooper for Governor. And in the 6th district to unseat Rep. Mike Coffman, and vote for Andrew Romanoff in the 6th Congressional District.

Both the Senate race in Colorado and the Governor Seat are considered toss ups at this time, with many pundits predicting that Cory Gardner will win Mark Udall’s senate seat, and that senate majority will go to the Republicans in the Senate. John Hickenlooper is also engaged in a tight race, with pundits labeling that race a tossup.

Gardner and Udall have been clamoring for the Women Voter bloc. And Gardner has a 13% deficit in the polls behind Udall with women. Gardner has a Women Problem. So of course he is pandering directly to women, telling us that he supports birth control, which I am pretty sure is laughable. It’s just odd when the tables are turned and women have the power and yet lies and pandering prevails.

Andrew Romanoff has run an excellent campaign against incumbent Mike Coffman. Indeed, in a recent debate, Romanoff went on the offense against Coffman, and showed he had an excellent grasp on the issues while Coffman drew gasps from the crowd when he denied that climate change, i.e. global warming, could be man made. But Romanoff has an uphill battle because incumbents usually win, even though Congress has abysmally low approval ratings, the people still tend to re-elect their past representative or senator. This disconnect in politics, this phenomena of re-electing incumbent politicians we are dissatisfied with, is especially baffling to me.

The midterms look especially depressing to me in terms of the likely outcomes. But I think Democrats could retain Senate Majority if people turn out. So I am encouraging all my friends, neighbors, coworkers, and family to vote.

The media continues to realize the importance of Colorado in elections. With some pundits now calling Colorado a more important bellwether than Ohio, given Colorado’s quintessentially purple status. I think Colorado is a very exciting state to live in for political nerds like me. I cannot wait for the election. I will be live blogging results on Election Day.

Governor Race Tightens Up with Most Support Among Independents Going to Bob Beauprez, Independents also favor Gardner over Udall

Never Politics Small

Colorado voters went to the polls for the state-wide primary June 24th and selected Bob Beauprez for their GOP candidate for governor, besting Tom Tancredo and others. And a new Rasmussen Poll shows that independent voters favor Bob Beauprez over John Hickenlooper 45 to 37 percent! This is huge news and could be a key trend to watch for the governor’s race leading into November. New polls show the governors race has tightened significantly since the primary shored up Beauprez as the nominee. The polls now show that Hickenlooper and Beauprez are in a virtual tie, each drawing 44 percent.

In separate polling, the very closely watched race between Sen. Mark Udall and Rep. Cory Gardner also shows similar results. Independents are favoring Gardner over Udall, 41 to 36 percent.

I can’t pretend that as a liberal independent I am not disturbed by this polling. I am deeply worried about it. While I can’t ignore the fact that a large portion of Independent voters in Colorado are on the libertarian side of the political spectrum, there is also a large liberal independent voting block, a segment of the population who are unaffiliated voters who have strong liberal political leanings. We need to make our voices heard in this election season. Independents will have a huge sway on this election and who gets voted into Congress. Lets talk to our friends and neighbors and coworkers and make our concerns known. Because Udall is far from having this thing locked in. I do have faith that Hickenlooper will put out a win, but his victory is far from assured as well. Both Udall and Hickenlooper need to think: turn out, turn out, turn out!

Hickenlooper Enjoys Comfortable Lead While Sen. Udall Locked in Tight Race.

2014 Election: A Closer Look At the New Polls

With all the polling coming out constantly for Senate, House, and the Governor’s race here in Colorado, there is so much material for political junkies to dissect! I for one am really enjoying this election cycle! We here in Colorado have some very hot races to follow. Especially the Mike/Coffman Andrew/Romanoff race in the 6th Congressional District, and the Mark Udall/Cory Gardner race that came from nowhere to blindside the Udall Campaign.

Lets take a look at the newest batch of polling.

Hickenlooper Polling

The newest round of polling is quite favorable for Gov. Hickenlooper. A Quinnipiac poll out April 23rd shows Hickenlooper beating all four GOP candidates for governor. The poll shows Hickenlooper beating Tom Tancredo 47 to 40, Secretary of State Scott Gessler, 48 percent to 38 percent; former Sen. Mike Kopp, 47 percent to 38 percent; and former Congressman Bob Beauprez, who entered the race last month, 48 percent to 39 percent. This polling is reassuring to see after a tough year for Hickenlooper in 2013. He took a beating in the polls over his support for gun control legislation and for the indefinite suspension of the death penalty in the case of mentally ill Nathan Dunlap. It seems that Hickenlooper has regained ground with the voters, showing strong support from women and independent voters. I am glad that independents are behind Hickenlooper. Hickenlooper has proven himself to be a moderate politician in a state that is extremely politically purple. Hickenlooper is not the liberal firebrand that some people try their hardest to paint him. He is a politician who leads with steady, moderate leadership and who does not cater to the fringe of either side of the political spectrum. While I sometimes fault Hickenlooper for his obvious ties to the oil and gas industry, I cannot fault his practicality as a leader. He knows which side his bread is buttered. I think Hickenlooper is in a good position to win re-election in November for another term as Governor. And after that there are persistent whispers of presidential ambitions.

Udall/Gardner Senate Race Poll

Udall as an incumbent no doubt thought he was in for a safe cruise to re-election in 2014 when Cory Gardner decided not to run for re-election in the House and instead chose to challenge Mark Udall’s Senate seat. This race will be long, tough, and close. A new poll from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce shows the Colorado Senate race is extremely tight, according to a new report from Politico. The survey has Republican Rep. Cory Gardner up by 2 points among likely voters, 44 percent to 42 percent, over Democratic Sen. Mark Udall. Libertarian Party candidate Gaylon Kent pulls 7 percent. This is within the 4-point margin of error. Another poll on the Democratic side with Public Policy Polling, which found Udall ahead by 2 points. And a Quinnipiac poll for the same race will be released tomorrow. There is a lot of public anger at the Affordable Care Act for Gardner to capitalize on. But there are also a lot of previously uninsured people who now have health coverage. I wonder if Gardner can really pull out a victory. Usually incumbents win. And Colorado is evenly divided. Independents could ultimately decide this race.

Mike Coffman/Andrew Romanoff 6th District

One of the hottest races in the country, this is a face-off between a conservative Republican incumbent, Mike Coffman, and a face of local Colorado Democrat leadership, Andrew Romanoff. This race will be fascinating to watch. The 6th district is highly diverse, with growing Latino populations, making for changing demographics. Andrew Romanoff has a highly organized campaign and they are raising major cash. Romanoff’s campaign raised over $600,000 in a 3 month period, to Coffman’s $593,000 in the same period. Coffman is associated with the tea part caucus, an association he looks to minimize as he campaigns for November. According to media reports, Coffman or his staff edited his Wikipedia recently to remove mentions of the tea party. So clearly Coffman is aware of how his image as a tea party member could be detrimental his re-election campaign. I am really hoping that Colorado elects Romanoff this year. We deserve representation that will work for us. A rep who will actually legislate, and not obstruct. We need real legislators, and not just party hacks who will not work across the aisle, compromise, and get work done for the American People.